How to Pick the Hurricanes vs. Lightning Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – October 11

Published 8:43 pm Wednesday, October 9, 2024

The matchup between the Carolina Hurricanes and the Tampa Bay Lightning at 7:00 PM ET on Friday has a variety of betting possibilities to consider. With that in mind, here’s an in-depth look at our best bets, along with picks and projections.

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Hurricanes vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 6.5 (model projecting 6.4 goals)

  • In 39 of 93 games last season, Carolina and its opponent combined for more than 6.5 goals.
  • Tampa Bay played 44 games last season that ended with more than 6.5 goals.
  • These two teams averaged 6.9 goals per game between them, 0.4 more than this one’s over/under.
  • These teams gave up 5.8 goals per game combined, 0.7 fewer than this one’s over/under.
  • The Hurricanes were eighth in goals scored in the league, and the Lightning were fifth.
  • This game features the league’s 22nd-ranked (Lightning) and fourth-ranked (Hurricanes) teams last season in terms of defense.

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Moneyline Pick

Hurricanes Moneyline: -133

  • The Hurricanes had a 54-31 record when favored on the moneyline last season.
  • Carolina had a 48-27 record (winning 64.0% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -133 or shorter.
  • The Hurricanes have a 57.1% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.

Lightning Moneyline: +112

  • Last season the Lightning had 15 wins in the 35 games in which they were an underdog.
  • Tampa Bay won eight of its 19 games last season when an underdog by +112 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied, based on the moneyline in this matchup, that the Lightning have a 47.2% chance to win.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Carolina 4, Tampa Bay 2

Hurricanes Points Leaders (2023-24)

  • Sebastian Aho was among Carolina’s leading contributors last season, recording 89 points. He averaged 0.4 goals per game, shooting 16.7%.
  • Seth Jarvis had 33 goals and 34 assists for Carolina last season, totaling 67 points (0.8 per game).
  • With 56 points in 81 games last season (10 goals and 46 assists), Shayne Gostisbehere was a key cog in the Carolina’s offensive efforts.
  • Last season for Carolina, Pyotr Kochetkov (23-13-4) posted a 2.3 goals-against average, and a save percentage of .911.

Lightning Points Leaders (2023-24)

  • Tampa Bay’s Nikita Kucherov collected 100 assists and 44 goals in 81 games last season, for 144 points.
  • Brayden Point was a top contributor for Tampa Bay, with 90 total points. He scored 46 goals and provided 44 assists in 81 games.
  • Tampa Bay’s Jake Guentzel had 77 points (30 goals, 47 assists) last season.
  • Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy was 30-20-2 last season, giving up 148 goals (2.9 goals against average) with a .900 save percentage (40th in the league).

Hurricanes’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/11/2024 Lightning Home -133
10/12/2024 Lightning Away
10/15/2024 Devils Home
10/18/2024 Penguins Away

Lightning’s Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/11/2024 Hurricanes Away +112
10/12/2024 Hurricanes Home
10/15/2024 Canucks Home
10/17/2024 Golden Knights Home

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Carolina vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

  • Date: Friday, October 11, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Location: Raleigh, North Carolina
  • Venue: PNC Arena

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