A victory by the Atlanta Falcons over the Carolina Panthers is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming game, on Sunday, Jan. 5 at 1 p.m. ET (at Mercedes-Benz Stadium). For a full breakdown, including the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Falcons are averaging 359.4 yards per game on offense (10th in NFL), and they rank 18th defensively with 340.1 yards allowed per game. The Panthers rank 25th in points per game (18.6), but they’ve been worse on the defensive side of the ball, ranking worst in the NFL with 31 points ceded per contest.

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Panthers vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks

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Panthers Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Panthers based on the moneyline is 25.0%.
• Carolina has won seven games against the spread this year, failing to cover nine times.
• The Panthers have covered the spread twice this year (2-3 ATS) when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.
• Carolina and its opponent have combined to go over the point total 12 out of 16 times this year.
• Games involving the Panthers this year have averaged 43.8 points per game, a 4.2-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Falcons Betting Info

• The Falcons have a 78.9% chance to win this contest based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Atlanta has won six games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing 10 times.
• The Falcons have been favored by 7.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• So far this season, six of Atlanta’s 16 games have gone over the point total.
• The over/under in this game is 48 points, two higher than the average total in Falcons games this season.

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Panthers vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights

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